Loading…
Predxy

Search

Type at least two characters.

PolymarketOpen

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

No92%
Yes9%

Price checked at

Prices have not been checked within the last hour.

Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume$172
7d volume$7.8K
30d volume$22.8K
Liquidity$8.4K
Spread1%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 2 months

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 17Oct 2Oct 17Nov 1Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Sep 6 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a marketwide circuit breaker is triggered on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at any time between November 7, 2025, and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A marketwide circuit breaker is defined as a trading halt that is initiated due to significant declines in the S&P 500 Index, specifically a Level 1, Level 2, or Level 3 halt as per NYSE rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NYSE, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Venue activity

Holders184
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments7

Best bid 7% · best ask 8%

Top holders

  • hwey346ed47244521176243504831320010374030626206943608425325384795080723420898313839532
  • goatboss10776578084439550181526173165818979034936800182797800156144227188229495479910
  • lowrisk2447244521176243504831320010374030626206943608425325384795080723420898313839532
  • justme00347244521176243504831320010374030626206943608425325384795080723420898313839532
  • MPCap2047244521176243504831320010374030626206943608425325384795080723420898313839532

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • BUY92%$16919 days ago
  • BUY9%$219 days ago
  • BUY9%$2019 days ago
  • BUY92%$2021 days ago
  • SELL91%$6322 days ago
  • SELL8%$223 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

7 comments

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.
  • Arvim · 2 months ago

    7%라는 기준선은 오늘날 기관 주식 시장에서 볼 때 장중 엄청난 변동 폭입니다.

  • perps-01sqko85 · 3 months ago

    AI bubble may lead to a big drop

  • pastelglide5376 · 4 months ago

    This is why i just copy trade...

  • ddalkkak · 6 months ago

    why do u just arbiatrily exclude covid like its not part of a data poit

  • Equal-Silkworm · 11 months ago

    With the level of optimism that we have in the market, we will probably have one in the middle of 2026, it is just that the risk and illiquidity still doesn't justify anyone jumping into this. There is no certainty but there is a possibility for it to happen otherwise it would be already priced in

  • Basilomo · 11 months ago

    but they change rule , it was need 10% , now only 7%

  • ransack · 11 months ago

    last circuit breaker before covid was in the 1990's, good luck yes holders

As of Nov 1, 04:09 PM UTC