PolymarketOpen

Will Trump resign before 2027?

No98%

Yes2%

Price checked at Nov 1, 09:59 AM UTC

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24h volume$240

7d volume$2.4K

30d volume$5.9K

Liquidity$43.3K

Spread0%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 2 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Venue activity

Read from the venue 3 hours ago

Holders101

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Best bid 2% · best ask 2%

Top holders

Ondra60712531253355935739918387101386128911677534834480457111898120918138649064340
Minty-Vane89343546610870043006175857910040898510052723769258052800657392679702531243093
hegsethsdream89343546610870043006175857910040898510052723769258052800657392679702531243093
panyahgym89343546610870043006175857910040898510052723769258052800657392679702531243093
UniByte60712531253355935739918387101386128911677534834480457111898120918138649064340

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

SELL97%$1011 hours ago
BUY98%$1011 hours ago
SELL98%$1011 hours ago
BUY98%$1011 hours ago
SELL98%$1012 hours ago
BUY98%$1012 hours ago

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As of Nov 1, 10:39 AM UTC