PolymarketOpen

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

No95%

Yes6%

Price checked at Sep 30, 10:06 AM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$16.8K

Spread1%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue activity

Read from the venue 2 days ago

Holders139

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Top holders

MEPP31623217819038603813783350826187730431369952540273671534916386825104775476271
denizz31623217819038603813783350826187730431369952540273671534916386825104775476271
WashTrade77622159301151595600018692169046934155670985348681037776543994015872072881759
EIM2277622159301151595600018692169046934155670985348681037776543994015872072881759
ZenithAether77622159301151595600018692169046934155670985348681037776543994015872072881759

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Recent trades

BUY95%$5.17 days ago
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BUY96%$521 days ago
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As of Sep 30, 10:54 AM UTC