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U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

No94%

Yes6%

Price checked at Sep 29, 09:58 PM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$12.8K

Spread2%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify. US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify. High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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As of Sep 29, 10:17 PM UTC