Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the South Korea by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by South Korea, North Korea, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Venue activity
Read from the venue 8 days agoBest bid 3% · best ask 3%
Top holders
- HoneybeeAlliance14585618186186946549733724355927128735197195541609100736978645150463981689172
- 0x8931aa50226eea3e626c961ccffcf176dcf3a90c43713667919237866564155378528767701173792138282729123029364094978334394500325
- 0xd26935092ce94d6393540974ce734ad798c96b9a43713667919237866564155378528767701173792138282729123029364094978334394500325
- RememberAmalek14585618186186946549733724355927128735197195541609100736978645150463981689172
- 500EUR43713667919237866564155378528767701173792138282729123029364094978334394500325
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Recent trades
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- BUY97%$4.918 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
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As of Sep 29, 09:59 PM UTC