Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026?
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.Venue activity
Read from the venue 8 days agoBest bid 5% · best ask 12%
Top holders
- alwaysOn27078551761335802816699526818159218716574326271849800902753456601877380119172
- Dishonest-Ziggurat27078551761335802816699526818159218716574326271849800902753456601877380119172
- Prickly-Eyrie27078551761335802816699526818159218716574326271849800902753456601877380119172
- Pleasant-Airline111173078110622502975146485705635994101700742486118900857120119365219959759902
- iamkingofbay27078551761335802816699526818159218716574326271849800902753456601877380119172
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- SELL89%$1.114 days ago
- BUY10%$425 days ago
- BUY10%$0.928 days ago
- SELL7%$2.829 days ago
- BUY92%$4.6last month
- SELL8%$0.7last month
Discussion on Predxy
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As of Sep 29, 10:22 PM UTC