Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

No93%
Yes8%

Price checked at

Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume$106.4
7d volume$3.1K
30d volume$12.4K
Liquidity$42.8K
Spread2%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 22Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. same
  • KalshiOpen →

    Which countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2027?: Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?

    If Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize diplomatic relations before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The agreement must be ratified before Jan 1, 2027 to be included within the Payout Criterion.

    read Sep 29, 07:19 PM UTC

  • Polymarketthis market

    Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    1K holders · 0 comments · read Sep 26, 07:40 AM UTC

Venue activity

Holders1K
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Best bid 92% · best ask 94%

Top holders

  • devin.lawson.7763409286016973577903012142269621228305682014726736632772295861872995350316136
  • Cinibengales86727316187077924188803504745015598973723867072517640274231186919208073176698
  • wan12386727316187077924188803504745015598973723867072517640274231186919208073176698
  • skibabiba63409286016973577903012142269621228305682014726736632772295861872995350316136
  • AlansWorld18263409286016973577903012142269621228305682014726736632772295861872995350316136

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • SELL6%$11.94 days ago
  • BUY94%$1004 days ago
  • BUY93%$58.15 days ago
  • SELL7%$0.15 days ago
  • BUY11%$505 days ago
  • SELL6%$0.65 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Sep 29, 09:13 PM UTC