PolymarketOpen

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

No96%

Yes5%

Price checked at Sep 29, 06:34 PM UTC

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24h volume$324.5

7d volume$2.4K

30d volume$18.4K

Liquidity$29.7K

Spread1%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue activity

Read from the venue 5 days ago

Holders512

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Best bid 95% · best ask 96%

Top holders

Eyes11160482166031720291380868655057144166386114272673178755337360544583400474201659
Far-Flung-Law60482166031720291380868655057144166386114272673178755337360544583400474201659
momom36584990740430575779853916178487409250519468755041580140068769472851047579138
alihanyer36584990740430575779853916178487409250519468755041580140068769472851047579138
wer2356760482166031720291380868655057144166386114272673178755337360544583400474201659

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

SELL4%$75.77 days ago
BUY5%$1.28 days ago
BUY5%$1.98 days ago
SELL95%$9.59 days ago
SELL95%$19 days ago
SELL95%$12.59 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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As of Sep 29, 07:23 PM UTC