Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | Polymarket | 89% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 2 days agoBest bid 4% · best ask 4%
Top holders
- ZnotluvuiSamez350977769852917329387037893294763093471844346281449484439085576212613048126
- ReedUpdatee87073899845581463485186346288398658568334162612963837182986759797304993556208
- onekey0287073899845581463485186346288398658568334162612963837182986759797304993556208
- ThisAgain87073899845581463485186346288398658568334162612963837182986759797304993556208
- ololololololololo87073899845581463485186346288398658568334162612963837182986759797304993556208
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- BUY96%$212 days ago
- SELL4%$0.72 days ago
- SELL96%$192.82 days ago
- BUY4%$202 days ago
- SELL96%$14.4K2 days ago
- SELL3%$6.22 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
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As of Sep 29, 11:15 PM UTC