Will Trump issue dividend payments: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least 1,000,000 people have each been issued at least $100 in payments under the same new federal program for the general public presented by the Trump administration as a dividend, rebate, or equivalent return of government revenue or savings before Apr 1, 2027?

26%Before Apr 1, 2027

1 ptsover 24h

The field · 2 outcomes

24h volume$59

Total volume$2.3K

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesJan 8, 2027in 3 months

First seenOct 6, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

Open the market

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	26¢	385	$385	+$285 3.8×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Will Trump issue dividend payments?: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least 1,000,000 people have each been issued at least $100 in payments under the same new federal program for the general public presented by the Trump administration as a dividend, rebate, or equivalent return of government revenue or savings before Apr 1, 2027?
74% No$59 24h volume
Resolution rules
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country

Search

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Markets