Will Trump impose martial law before his term ends?: Will Trump impose martial law before Jan 1, 2028?

39%Before Jan 1, 2028
4 ptsover 24h

The field · 3 outcomes

  1. Before Jan 20, 202940%3
  2. Before Jan 1, 2028 · this question39%4
  3. Before Jan 1, 202726%2
24h volume$132
Total volume$1.3K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesJan 20, 2029in 2 years
First seenOct 9, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

Open the market

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 9Oct 13Oct 17Oct 21Oct 25Down 52 points on Oct 10Up 49 points on Oct 11Up 9 points on Oct 19
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Kalshi39¢256$256+$156 2.6×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

More in Politics

View category
  1. 1Texas Senate Election Winner: Ken Paxton (R)
    38%Yes2 pts
  2. 2U.S House Midterm Winner: Democratic Party
    90%Yes1 pts
  3. 3Texas Senate winner?: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Texas? Ken Paxton
    36%Ken Paxton1 pts
  4. 4Texas Senate Election Winner: James Talarico (D)
    64%Yes1 pts
  5. 52026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
    8%Yes0 pts

As of Oct 25, 08:33 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.