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Predxy

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Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in October 2026?

0%Yes
0 ptsover 24h

The field · 6 outcomes

  1. 5+98%1
  2. 42%2
  3. 21%0
  4. 3 · this question<1%0
  5. 1<1%0
  6. <1<1%0
24h volume$0
Total volume$0
Markets11 venue, 0 priced
ResolvesNov 1, 2026in 8 days
First seenSep 30, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30Oct 6Oct 12Oct 18Oct 24Up 10 points on Oct 2Up 9 points on Oct 3Down 13 points on Oct 4Up 8 points on Oct 8Up 18 points on Oct 16
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket0.8¢12,500$12,500+$12,400 125×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 24, 03:53 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.