Will there be between 25 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?

24h volume$67
Total volume$2.2K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesNov 1, 2026in 7 days
First seenOct 1, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30Oct 7Oct 13Oct 19Oct 25

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket1¢10,000$10,000+$9,900 100×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

As of Oct 25, 05:53 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.