Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?
14%Yes
0 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 1 of 2 venues
The field · 13 outcomes
24h volume$65
Total volume$12.7K
Markets22 venues, 1 priced
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 2 months
First seenSep 2, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
If you’re right
What a stake pays at each venue, before fees$
| Venue | Price | Shares | Pays | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Best payout | 15¢ | 667 | $667 | +$567 6.7× |
 | 70.8¢ | 141 | $141 | +$41.24 1.4× |
Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.
Where this question trades
2 venuesComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- 2026 U.S. federal government stake recipients: OpenAI$0 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
- Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?87% No$65 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
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As of Oct 25, 02:47 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.