Will the S&P 500 be above 7644.9999 on Oct 22, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,645 or above

Result

Settled on Oct 23, 2026. Markets gave it 99% the day before.

This question has settled. The price shown is final, and the change is the resolution, not a move.

99%7,645 or above
0 ptsover 24h
24h volume$0
Total volume$96.7K
Markets11 venue, 0 priced
ResolvesOct 22, 20262 days ago
First seenOct 22, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 22, 12:26 PMOct 22, 11:04 PMOct 23, 09:41 AMOct 23, 08:19 PM

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

As of Oct 24, 05:18 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.