KalshiResolved

Will the S&P 500 be above 7644.9999 on Oct 22, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,645 or above

7,645 or above99%
No1%

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This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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ResolvesOct 22, 20262 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 22, 12:26 PMOct 22, 11:04 PMOct 23, 09:41 AMOct 23, 08:19 PM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the end-of-day S&P 500 index value on October 22, 2026 is above 7644.9999, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on October 22, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after October 22, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the S&P 500 be above 7814.9999 on Oct 22, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,815 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7754.9999 on Oct 22, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,755 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7749.9999 on Oct 22, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,750 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7739.9999 on Oct 22, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,740 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7719.9999 on Oct 22, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,720 or aboveKalshi98% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7729.9999 on Oct 22, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,730 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7724.9999 on Oct 22, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,725 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7734.9999 on Oct 22, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,735 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7709.9999 on Oct 22, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,710 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7699.9999 on Oct 22, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,700 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7714.9999 on Oct 22, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,715 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7689.9999 on Oct 22, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,690 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7684.9999 on Oct 22, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,685 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7664.9999 on Oct 22, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,665 or aboveKalshi92% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7674.9999 on Oct 22, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,675 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7679.9999 on Oct 22, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,680 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7669.9999 on Oct 22, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,670 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7659.9999 on Oct 22, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,660 or aboveKalshi96% 7,660 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7639.9999 on Oct 22, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,640 or aboveKalshi98% 7,640 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7599.9999 on Oct 22, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,600 or aboveKalshi99% 7,600 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7589.9999 on Oct 22, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,590 or aboveKalshi99% 7,590 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7604.9999 on Oct 22, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,605 or aboveKalshi99% 7,605 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7594.9999 on Oct 22, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,595 or aboveKalshi99% 7,595 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7579.9999 on Oct 22, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,580 or aboveKalshi97% 7,580 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7584.9999 on Oct 22, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,585 or aboveKalshi99% 7,585 or aboveOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 24, 06:19 PM UTC