Will the Republican Party control the Pennsylvania Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

33%Yes
7 ptsover 24h

The field · 2 outcomes

  1. Democratic Party62%8
  2. Republican Party · this question33%7
24h volume$439
Total volume$4.2K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesNov 4, 2026in 10 days
First seenSep 10, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 10Sep 21Oct 2Oct 13Oct 24Up 12 points on Sep 11Down 8 points on Sep 19Down 12 points on Oct 12Up 13 points on Oct 13Down 10 points on Oct 21
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket35¢286$286+$186 2.9×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 24, 09:29 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.