SettledEconomy

Will the rate of core PCE inflation be above 0.2% in August 2026?

Result

Settled on Oct 1, 2026. Markets gave it 67% the day before.

This question has settled. The price shown is final, and the change is the resolution, not a move.

80%Above 0.2%
0 ptsover 24h
24h volume$2K
Total volume$13.3K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesSep 30, 202624 days ago
First seenSep 7, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 19Sep 24Sep 30Down 10 points on Sep 18Up 10 points on Sep 20Up 12 points on Sep 22Down 11 points on Sep 23Down 13 points on Sep 30
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 24, 06:23 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.