Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Anthropic by December 31?
4%Yes
0 ptsover 24h
The field · 10 outcomes
24h volume$0
Total volume$0
Markets11 venue, 0 priced
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 2 months
First seenOct 14, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
If you’re right
What a stake pays at each venue, before fees$
| Venue | Price | Shares | Pays | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4.4¢ | 2,273 | $2,273 | +$2,173 22.7× |
Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Anthropic by December 31?96% Nono volume publishedResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
More in AI
- 1Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed By: November 30, 202660%Yes24 pts
- 2Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed By: December 31, 202685%Yes1 pts
- 3Which Companies Will Confirm an IPO in 2026: Anthropic81%Yes4 pts
- 4Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed By: June 30, 202792%Yes0 pts
- 5Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?28%Yes1 pts
As of Oct 24, 01:15 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.