Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?

61%Yes
0 ptsover 24h

The field · 4 outcomes

  1. 1440+ · this question61%0
  2. 1450+52%1
  3. 1460+30%6
  4. 1470+15%5
24h volume$1.4K
Total volume$2.9K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesJul 1, 2027in 8 months
First seenOct 22, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 22, 04:34 PMOct 23, 07:21 AMOct 23, 10:09 PMOct 24, 12:57 PMUp 8 points on Oct 23
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket62¢161$161+$61.29 1.6×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
  1. 1Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed By: November 30, 2026
    60%Yes24 pts
  2. 2Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed By: December 31, 2026
    85%Yes1 pts
  3. 3Which Companies Will Confirm an IPO in 2026: Anthropic
    81%Yes4 pts
  4. 4Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed By: June 30, 2027
    92%Yes0 pts
  5. 5Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?
    28%Yes1 pts

As of Oct 24, 01:16 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.