Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 23, 2026?

9%Yes
2 ptsover 24hOne venue carries this question.
24h volume$708.3
Total volume$10.2K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 24, 2026in 21 days
First seenSep 22, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 22Sep 25Sep 27Sep 30Oct 2

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
  1. 1Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
    38%Yes7 pts
  2. 2Best AI at the end of 2026?: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? Gemini
    37%Gemini3 pts
  3. 3Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
    60%Yes9 pts
  4. 4Best AI at the end of 2026?: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? ChatGPT
    10%ChatGPT0 pts
  5. 5When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? Before Nov 1, 2026
    6%Before Nov 1, 20266 pts

As of Oct 2, 04:56 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.