Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

61%Yes
10 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 2 of 2 venues
24h volume$73K
Total volume$306.5K
Markets22 venues, 2 priced
ResolvesOct 31, 2026in 29 days
First seenSep 2, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 9Sep 17Sep 25Oct 2

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
  1. 1Best AI at the end of 2026?: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? Gemini
    34%Gemini1 pts
  2. 2Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
    40%Yes13 pts
  3. 3Best AI at the end of 2026?: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? ChatGPT
    9%ChatGPT2 pts
  4. 4When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? Before Nov 1, 2026
    6%Before Nov 1, 20269 pts
  5. 5Best AI at the end of 2026?: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? Claude
    52%Claude4 pts

As of Oct 2, 03:46 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.