Will the Montana 2026 Senate race be within 5%?

24h volume$40
Total volume$3.9K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesNov 4, 2026in 10 days
First seenSep 2, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 15Sep 28Oct 11Oct 25Up 33 points on Oct 17Down 22 points on Oct 18Up 26 points on Oct 19Down 36 points on Oct 21
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket94.3¢106$106+$6.04 1.1×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 25, 04:42 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.