Will the minimum temperature be <51° on Oct 23, 2026? 50° or below
2%50° or below
—over 24h
The field · 6 outcomes
24h volume$942
Total volume$1.2K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 24, 2026in 7 hours
First seenOct 23, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
If you’re right
What a stake pays at each venue, before fees$
| Venue | Price | Shares | Pays | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2¢* | 5,000 | $5,000 | +$4,900 50× |
Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- Will the minimum temperature be <51° on Oct 23, 2026? 50° or below98% No$942 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
More in Science
- 1Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?2%Yes0 pts
- 2Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026: Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 97.5 TWh?64%Above 97.5 TWh11 pts
- 3US Measles Cases in 2026? — Above 500094%Yes0 pts
- 4Where Will 2026 Rank Among the Hottest Years on Record? — 1st84%Yes5 pts
- 5What named storms will be hurricanes in the Eastern Pacific this year?: Will Yolanda be categorized as a hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?44%Yolanda51 pts
As of Oct 24, 12:03 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.