Will the IEA ask France to release oil stocks by December 31?

37%Yes
4 ptsover 24h

The field · 2 outcomes

  1. December 31 · this question37%4
  2. October 31<1%0
24h volume$139
Total volume$3.6K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 2 months
First seenOct 2, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 2Oct 8Oct 14Oct 19Oct 25Up 17 points on Oct 7Up 17 points on Oct 8Down 11 points on Oct 9Down 30 points on Oct 23Up 24 points on Oct 24
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket38¢263$263+$163 2.6×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

As of Oct 25, 05:53 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.