Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 25?

24h volume$196
Total volume$196
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 25, 2026in 19 hours
First seenOct 23, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

Open the market

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 23, 06:57 AMOct 23, 06:08 PMOct 24, 05:19 AMOct 24, 04:30 PM

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket0.8¢12,500$12,500+$12,400 125×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

As of Oct 24, 05:07 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.