Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?

4%Yes
0 ptsover 24hPlain mean across 0 of 2 venues
24h volume$0
Total volume$0
Markets22 venues, 0 priced
ResolvesDec 31, 2026in 3 months
First seenSep 2, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

Open the market →

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 23Sep 29

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

More in Economy

View category →
  1. 1Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
    56%Yes25 pts
  2. 2Fed decision in Oct 2026?: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2026 meeting? Fed maintains rate
    55%Fed maintains rate25 pts
  3. 3Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
    44%Yes25 pts
  4. 4Fed decision in Oct 2026?: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their October 2026 meeting? Hike 25bps
    44%Hike 25bps26 pts
  5. 5Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?: Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.00% following the Fed's Oct 28, 2026 meeting?
    46%Above 4.00%25 pts

As of Sep 30, 12:36 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.