Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
59%Yes
1 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 1 of 2 venues
24h volume$4.5K
Total volume$23.9K
Markets22 venues, 1 priced
ResolvesDec 9, 2026in 2 months
First seenSep 2, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
Where this question trades
2 venuesComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- PolymarketWill the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?59% Yes$4.5K 24h volumeResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
- Predict.funWill the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?53% Yesno volume publishedResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
More in Economy
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- 2Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?16%Yes27 pts
- 3Fed decision in Oct 2026?: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2026 meeting? Fed maintains rate83%Fed maintains rate18 pts
- 4Fed decision in Oct 2026?: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their October 2026 meeting? Hike 25bps17%Hike 25bps20 pts
- 5Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?2%Yes1 pts
As of Oct 2, 02:03 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.