Will the EU lift its ban on Russian diesel imports by December 31, 2026?

5%Yes
0 ptsover 24h

The field · 2 outcomes

  1. December 31 · this question5%0
  2. October 311%0
24h volume$0
Total volume$0
Markets11 venue, 0 priced
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 2 months
First seenOct 9, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 9Oct 13Oct 17Oct 21Oct 25Down 19 points on Oct 10
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket5.6¢1,786$1,786+$1,686 17.9×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

As of Oct 25, 05:53 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.