Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?
2%Yes
1 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 1 of 2 venues
24h volume$17.6
Total volume$230.2
Markets22 venues, 1 priced
ResolvesDec 17, 2026in 3 months
First seenSep 14, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
Where this question trades
2 venuesComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- PolymarketWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?98% No$17.6 24h volumeResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
- LimitlessECB Interest Rates: December 2026: 50+ bps decrease97% Nono volume publishedResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
More in Economy
- 1Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?45%Yes24 pts
- 2Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?55%Yes25 pts
- 3Fed decision in Oct 2026?: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2026 meeting? Fed maintains rate57%Fed maintains rate27 pts
- 4Will inflation in Brazil be below 4.00% in Dec 2026?11%In Dec 202680 pts
- 5Will the Federal Reserve's Open Market Committee raise The upper bound target range of the federal funds rate at its October 2026 decision?46%Yes23 pts
As of Sep 29, 09:50 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.