Will the Democrats win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?
3%Yes
0 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 1 of 2 venues
The field · 2 outcomes
24h volume$25
Total volume$4.5K
Markets22 venues, 1 priced
ResolvesNov 4, 2026in 11 days
First seenSep 2, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
If you’re right
What a stake pays at each venue, before fees$
| Venue | Price | Shares | Pays | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Best payout | 3.1¢ | 3,226 | $3,226 | +$3,126 32.3× |
 | 3.3¢ | 3,030 | $3,030 | +$2,930 30.3× |
Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.
Where this question trades
2 venuesComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- Kentucky Senate Winner: Democrats97% No$0 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
- Will the Democrats win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?97% No$25 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
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As of Oct 24, 01:08 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.