Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.14% on Sep 30, 2026? 5.15% or above

Result

Settled on Oct 1, 2026. Markets gave it 42% the day before.

This question has settled. The price shown is final, and the change is the resolution, not a move.

99%5.15% or above
0 ptsover 24h
24h volume$428
Total volume$1.3K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesSep 30, 202624 days ago
First seenSep 30, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 11:38 PMSep 30, 09:36 AMSep 30, 07:34 PMOct 1, 05:33 AM

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 24, 01:14 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.