SettledEconomy
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.49% in October?
Result
Resolved Yes on Oct 16, 2026. Markets gave it 82% the day before.
This question has settled. The price shown is final, and the change is the resolution, not a move.
100%Yes
0 ptsover 24h
24h volume$1.3K
Total volume$4.6K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesNov 1, 2026in 8 days
First seenOct 1, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.49% in October?
100% Yes$1.3K 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
More in Economy
- 1Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?94%Yes0 pts
- 2Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?7%Yes0 pts
- 3Fed decision in Oct 2026?: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2026 meeting? Fed maintains rate92%Fed maintains rate1 pts
- 4Fed Decision in October — No change93%Yes2 pts
- 5Will the Federal Reserve's Open Market Committee leave unchanged The upper bound target range of the federal funds rate at its October 2026 decision?93%Yes1 pts
As of Oct 24, 12:04 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.