Will Texas be the closest Governor's race in 2026?
10%Yes
1 ptsover 24h
The field Β· 36 outcomes
24h volume$40
Total volume$1.7K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesNov 4, 2026in 10 days
First seenOct 6, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket Β· All recorded historyDrag to move Β· pinch or β/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxyβs combined probability above.
If youβre right
What a stake pays at each venue, before fees$
| Venue | Price | Shares | Pays | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.1Β’ | 990 | $990 | +$890 9.9Γ |
Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- Will Texas be the closest Governor's race in 2026?90% No$40 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
More in Politics
- 1Texas Senate Election Winner: Ken Paxton (R)39%Yes2 pts
- 2Texas Senate winner?: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Texas? Ken Paxton37%Ken Paxton1 pts
- 3U.S House Midterm Winner: Democratic Party91%Yes0 pts
- 4Texas Senate Election Winner: James Talarico (D)64%Yes1 pts
- 52026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?: Will House Control be Republican AND Senate Control be Republican for Feb 2027? R-House, R-Senate9%Republicans sweep0 pts
As of Oct 25, 01:47 AM UTC Β· Market prices are not certainties.