Will SpaceX have 17+ launches in October 2026?

1%Yes
0 ptsover 24h

The field · 5 outcomes

  1. <1475%13
  2. 1533%14
  3. 1631%8
  4. 1410%16
  5. 17+ · this question1%0
24h volume$0
Total volume$0
Markets11 venue, 0 priced
ResolvesNov 1, 2026in 7 days
First seenSep 30, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30Oct 6Oct 12Oct 18Oct 24Up 35 points on Oct 1
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket2.7¢3,704$3,704+$3,604 37×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 24, 05:08 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.