Will Social Security’s retirement trust fund be depleted?: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the OASI Trust Fund reserves are depleted such that full scheduled Social Security retirement and survivors benefits are no longer payable under then-current law before Jan 1, 2033?
20%Before Jan 1, 2033
0 ptsover 24hOne venue carries this question.
24h volume$0
Total volume$2.2K
Markets11 venue, 0 priced
ResolvesJan 8, 2033in 6 years
First seenSep 7, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- KalshiWill Social Security’s retirement trust fund be depleted?: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the OASI Trust Fund reserves are depleted such that full scheduled Social Security retirement and survivors benefits are no longer payable under then-current law before Jan 1, 2033?80% No$0 24h volumeResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
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As of Sep 29, 06:06 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.