When will Samuel Alito retire as a Justice of the U.S. Supreme Court? — Before Jan 1, 2027

12%Before Jan 1, 2027

1 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 1 of 2 venues

The field · 2 outcomes

24h volume$200

Total volume$394.9K

Markets22 venues, 1 priced

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 2 months

First seenSep 7, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

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▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	10¢	1,000	$1,000	+$900 10×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

2 venues

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Will Samuel Alito retires the Supreme Court in before 2027? Before Jan 1, 2027
88% No$200 24h volume
Resolution rules
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
When will Samuel Alito retire as a Justice of the U.S. Supreme Court? — Before Jan 1, 2027
91% Nono volume published
Resolution rules
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country

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When will Samuel Alito retire as a Justice of the U.S. Supreme Court? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Probability history

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Where this question trades

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