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WorldRussiaUkraineRussiaUkraine

Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?

81%Yes
2 ptsover 24h

The field · 8 outcomes

  1. October 24100%16
  2. October 2691%1
  3. October 2587%2
  4. October 2887%2
  5. October 2784%3
  6. October 29 · this question81%2
  7. October 3081%8
  8. October 3179%5
24h volume$283
Total volume$9.7K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 30, 2026in 6 days
First seenOct 1, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30Oct 6Oct 12Oct 18Oct 24Down 27 points on Oct 7Up 25 points on Oct 8Down 29 points on Oct 9Up 11 points on Oct 17Up 12 points on Oct 22
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket85¢118$118+$17.65 1.2×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

More in World

View category
  1. 1NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
    2%Yes18 pts
  2. 2US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
    79%Yes1 pts
  3. 3NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?
    7%Yes16 pts
  4. 4NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
    19%Yes15 pts
  5. 5US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?
    87%Yes4 pts

As of Oct 24, 12:08 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.