Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027?

28%Yes
2 ptsover 24h

The field · 3 outcomes

  1. June 30, 202756%0
  2. March 31, 2027 · this question28%2
  3. December 3111%1
24h volume$10
Total volume$30.7K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesApr 1, 2027in 5 months
First seenOct 12, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 12Oct 15Oct 18Oct 21Oct 24Down 19 points on Oct 20
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket30¢333$333+$233 3.3×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

More in World

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  1. 1NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
    2%Yes36 pts
  2. 2US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
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  3. 3NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?
    8%Yes17 pts
  4. 4NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
    18%Yes24 pts
  5. 5US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?
    88%Yes5 pts

As of Oct 24, 07:06 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.