Will Russia capture Dobropillia by March 31, 2027?

43%Yes
7 ptsover 24h

The field · 3 outcomes

  1. March 31, 2027 · this question43%7
  2. December 3121%3
  3. October 312%1
24h volume$1.7K
Total volume$5.4K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesApr 1, 2027in 5 months
First seenOct 20, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 20Oct 21Oct 22Oct 23Oct 24Up 21 points on Oct 21
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket44¢227$227+$127 2.3×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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  4. 4NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
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  5. 5US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?
    88%Yes4 pts

As of Oct 24, 01:56 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.