Will PP win the second-most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?

16%Yes
3 ptsover 24h

The field · 5 outcomes

  1. PSOE75%2
  2. PP · this question16%3
  3. Podemos2%0
  4. Vox1%2
  5. Broad Front (FA)<1%0
24h volume$0
Total volume$0
Markets11 venue, 0 priced
ResolvesNov 30, 2026next month
First seenOct 22, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 22, 09:23 PMOct 23, 04:20 PMOct 24, 11:17 AMOct 25, 06:15 AMUp 37 points on Oct 23
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket23¢435$435+$335 4.3×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 25, 12:39 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.