Will Pete Hegseth be out as Secretary of Defense before Jan 1, 2028?
78%Before Jan 1, 2028
8 ptsover 24h
The field · 9 outcomes
24h volume$3
Total volume$995
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesJan 1, 2029in 2 years
First seenSep 29, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
If you’re right
What a stake pays at each venue, before fees$
| Venue | Price | Shares | Pays | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 77¢ | 130 | $130 | +$29.87 1.3× |
Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- Will Pete Hegseth be out as Secretary of Defense before Jan 1, 2028?78% Before Jan 1, 2028$3 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
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As of Oct 24, 04:02 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.