Will OpenRouter process 195T or more tokens the week of October 19?

9%Yes
4 ptsover 24h

The field · 5 outcomes

  1. 185-195T77%17
  2. 175-185T29%8
  3. 195T+ · this question9%4
  4. 165-175T4%4
  5. <165T3%2
24h volume$40
Total volume$2.2K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 26, 2026in 21 hours
First seenOct 15, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

Open the market

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 15Oct 18Oct 20Oct 22Oct 25Down 31 points on Oct 16Down 14 points on Oct 19Up 20 points on Oct 22Down 17 points on Oct 23
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket16.9¢592$592+$492 5.9×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
  1. 1Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed By: November 30, 2026
    70%Yes1 pts
  2. 2Which Companies Will Confirm an IPO in 2026: Anthropic
    82%Yes1 pts
  3. 3Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed By: December 31, 2026
    81%Yes4 pts
  4. 4Will Anthropic list by 1 January 2027 00:00 UTC with a first-day market cap above $2.5T?
    7%Yes0 pts
  5. 5When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? Before Nov 1, 2026
    2%Before Nov 1, 20260 pts

As of Oct 25, 06:49 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.