Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

24h volume$221
Total volume$55.9K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesDec 31, 2026in 2 months
First seenSep 2, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 15Sep 28Oct 11Oct 24Down 8 points on Sep 22Down 12 points on Sep 23Up 12 points on Sep 26Down 9 points on Oct 15Down 8 points on Oct 20
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket25¢400$400+$300 4×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

More in World

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  1. 1NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
    2%Yes13 pts
  2. 2US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
    79%Yes1 pts
  3. 3NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?
    7%Yes16 pts
  4. 4NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
    19%Yes15 pts
  5. 5US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?
    88%Yes4 pts

As of Oct 24, 01:15 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.