Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Guerrero Congress election?

86%Yes
0 ptsover 24h

The field · 6 outcomes

  1. Morena · this question86%0
  2. PRI6%8
  3. PT4%1
  4. PVEM3%0
  5. MC3%0
  6. PAN2%1
24h volume$5
Total volume$1.1K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesJun 7, 2027in 8 months
First seenOct 9, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 9Oct 13Oct 17Oct 20Oct 24Up 32 points on Oct 10Up 22 points on Oct 15
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket86¢116$116+$16.28 1.2×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 24, 01:13 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.