Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?
1%Yes
0 ptsover 24h
The field · 19 outcomes
24h volume$500
Total volume$786
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesNov 1, 2026in 7 days
First seenSep 2, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
If you’re right
What a stake pays at each venue, before fees$
| Venue | Price | Shares | Pays | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 0.9¢ | 11,111 | $11,111 | +$11,011 111× |
Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?99% No$500 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
More in AI
- 1Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed By: November 30, 202671%Yes11 pts
- 2Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed By: December 31, 202685%Yes2 pts
- 3Which Companies Will Confirm an IPO in 2026: Anthropic85%Yes1 pts
- 4Will Anthropic list by 1 January 2027 00:00 UTC with a first-day market cap above $2.5T?7%Yes0 pts
- 5Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed By: June 30, 202792%Yes0 pts
As of Oct 24, 08:28 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.