Will Marriott (MAR) Q3 worldwide RevPAR be above $138.5?

21%Yes
1 ptsover 24h

The field · 5 outcomes

  1. $132.596%2
  2. $13487%6
  3. $135.574%2
  4. $13768%26
  5. $138.5 · this question21%1
24h volume$0
Total volume$0
Markets11 venue, 0 priced
ResolvesNov 2, 2026in 9 days
First seenOct 14, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 14Oct 17Oct 19Oct 22Oct 25Up 11 points on Oct 15Down 13 points on Oct 17Down 8 points on Oct 18Up 9 points on Oct 22
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket38¢263$263+$163 2.6×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 25, 02:26 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.