Will Labor win the second-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?

10%Yes
5 ptsover 24h

The field · 4 outcomes

  1. Liberal–National37%3
  2. One Nation29%12
  3. Labor · this question10%5
  4. Greens4%0
24h volume$0
Total volume$0
Markets11 venue, 0 priced
ResolvesMar 28, 2027in 5 months
First seenOct 9, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 9Oct 13Oct 17Oct 21Oct 24Down 12 points on Oct 15Down 9 points on Oct 16
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket10¢1,000$1,000+$900 10×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 24, 09:30 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.