Bahia Governor winner?: Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?
65%Jerônimo Rodrigues
1 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 2 of 2 venues
24h volume$3.4K
Total volume$83.9K
Markets22 venues, 2 priced
ResolvesOct 4, 2026in 3 days
First seenSep 2, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
Where this question trades
2 venuesComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- PolymarketWill Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?65% Yes$3K 24h volumeResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
- KalshiWill Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?66% Jerônimo Rodrigues$442 24h volumeResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
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As of Oct 2, 02:38 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.