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Science

Will it rain in New York, NY on October 23?

0%Yes
0 ptsover 24h

The field · 14 outcomes

  1. Miami, FL100%43
  2. Los Angeles, CA<1%19
  3. Philadelphia, PA<1%2
  4. Boston, MA<1%2
  5. Washington, DC<1%2
  6. Atlanta, GA<1%2
  7. Dallas, TX<1%2
  8. New Orleans, LA<1%2
  9. New York, NY · this question<1%0
  10. Seattle, WA<1%4
  11. Phoenix, AZ<1%0
  12. San Francisco, CA<1%4
24h volume$0
Total volume$0
Markets11 venue, 0 priced
ResolvesOct 24, 2026in 50 minutes
First seenOct 22, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

Open the market

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 22, 01:10 PMOct 23, 06:11 AMOct 23, 11:11 PMOct 24, 04:12 PMDown 47 points on Oct 23Up 50 points on Oct 24
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket0.1¢100,000$100,000+$99,900 1,000×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 24, 05:09 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.